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A Bird's Eye View Blog

Market Highlights in Charts 2.14.18

By:BCM Investment Team | Date:Feb14, 2018 | Category: Equity, Economics, Market Highlights, Fireside Charts

1. A trillion here, a trillion there... pretty soon we are talking about real money!

budget deal trillion dollars

Source: WSJ Daily Shot; As of 2/12/18

 

 

2. Some perspective on the current budget, spending, and the need to issue new bonds to fund it all...
new budget deal

Source: WSJ Daily Shot; As of 2/12/18

 

 

3. Are we back to the normal range?
cobe vix futures march

Source: WSJ Daily Shot; As of 2/12/18

 

 

4. Higher rates leads to wider spreads which lets banks make money again...

banking sector profit since fed lifts rates
Source: WSJ Daily Shot; As of 2/12/18

 

 

5. One of the worries with higher inflation is that price increases cannot follow and thus margins will suffer.

 firms struggling with margin price labor compensation 

Source: WSJ Daily Shot; As of 2/14/18

 

 

6. Where the rising rates will hurt Americans with variable rate debt.

us comsumer debt increases

Source: WSJ Daily Shot; As of 2/14/18

 

 

7. Delinquency rates of some types of loans are rising...but most have been declining allowing better results for the lenders.
student debt deliquency

Source: Thechartstore.com; As of 2/9/18

 

 

8. Overall, bank profits should be accelerating and their write-offs of bad loans decelerating.

us total loan deliquency  

Source: Evercore ISI; As of 2/18

 

 

9. Much like the Abe government in Japan, the U.S. now can spend at will for two years.  The question is: On what? I.E. Infrastructure...great!  Interest on debt...unproductive at best...

debt ceiling risk

Source: WSJ Daily Shot; As of 2/12/18

 

 

10. Global supply, led by the U.S., is rising to the point of effecting price.

nymex crude

Source: WSJ Daily Shot; As of 2/13/18

 

 

11. Here is a chart on the change in production, by country, of crude oil.

change in supply crude oil
Source: WSJ Daily Shot; As of 2/14/18