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A Bird's Eye View Blog

Market Highlights in Charts 9.20.17

By:BCM Investment Team | Date:Sep20, 2017 | Category: Equity, Economics, Market Highlights, Fireside Charts

 

1. If 70's fashion can come back, so can stagflation. 

 

Econ - Inflation and Real Growth.jpg

As of 9/19/17

 

 

2. History of Fed Intervention - It takes more and more intervention to stimulate the economy after a recession. We shall see how the markets react to the beginning of the end of the Fed's QE

 

Monetary Policy

Source: @valuewalk,@josephncohen; As of 9/19/17

 

 

3. The 3-Month core CPI series changes show the recent bounce in inflation. 

 

U.S. Core CPI

Source: Bloomberg; As of 9/18/17

 

 

4. Despite the USD's recent 12% decline, our trade balance with the world continues to worsen... 

 

U.S. Current Account Balance

Source: WSJ Daily Shot; As of 9/19/17

 

 

5. A great historical look at housing recoveries since WWII. Note this recovery is still at the trough of most cycles.

 

U.S. housing starts

Source: Eversource ISI; As of 9/19/17

 

 

6. Some perspective...

 

world money supply

Source: @galka_max,@josephncohen,howmuch.net; As of 9/19/17

 

 

7. Continued mixed signals from China...but this is encouraging. 

 

china steel demand

Source: BMI Research; As of 9/20/17

 

 

8. Again, perspective is always helpful...

 

market cap gold

Source: @MarinKutusa; As of 9/20/17

 

 

9. This chart says both bonds and stocks are the most expensive in 200 years... or since the industrial revolution. Curious to know their data sources and metrics used...

 

bond yields equity valuations

Source: @adnanchian,@sobata416; As of 9/19/17

 

 

10. Why Amazon, etc. are just warming up...

 

global ecommerce

Source: Goldman Sachs,@joshdigga; As of 9/19/17

 

 

11. Like the VIX in the U.S., volatility in Emerging Markets is very low. 

 

emerging market volatility

Source: Bloomberg; As of 9/18/17

 

 

12. Precursor to the next European financial crisis? 

 

European banks crisis

Source: WSJ Daily Shot; As of 9/18/17

 

 

13. We always need to remember those in need...

 

number of people undernourished

Source: @pdacosta; As of 9/20/17