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BCM Investment Team

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Recent Posts

Fireside Charts: Rent's Due, the 'Shale Death Zone', and a Warning Signal from the Bond Market

May 4, 2020
If this month's rent or mortgage payment hurt a little more than usual, you aren't alone. Small businesses are struggling to keep up with expenses following the first full month since ...

Fireside Charts: The GDP Hit, Unemployment, and a Look Ahead

May 1, 2020
U.S. GDP fell at a 4.8% annual rate in Q1, posting its first quarterly drop in over half a decade and it's worst quarterly drop since the financial crisis. Consumer spending, the main ...

Fireside Charts: Forward P/E Ratio and EPS Projections, Equity Return Trends, and the Food Supply Chain

April 29, 2020
It's a big day for the markets with Q1 GDP data, an FOMC meeting, and earnings reports from industry leaders Microsoft and Facebook. Amid a 4.8% contraction in GDP—the sharpest since ...

Fireside Charts: Unemployment, A Nasdaq Milestone, and Is Inflation Approaching?

April 24, 2020
~4.3 million more Americans filed for unemployment this week, and while that brings the quarantine-era total to ~26 ...

Fireside Charts: Oil, U.S. Farmers, and More Struggle in a Shifting Market

April 22, 2020
Earth Day looks to be celebrating the big 5-0 this year with a continuing meltdown of the fossil fuel industry. Oil prices ...

Fireside Charts: S&P 500's Record Concentration, Energy's Mixed Signals, Bond Spreads Calm

April 20, 2020
In unsurprising news to anyone who's been keeping an eye on their screen time reports lately, tech companies like Facebook and Amazon are riding a wave of increased traffic in the ...

Fireside Charts: U.S. Manufacturing Slumps, Stimulus Package & Oil Prices Run Out of Steam

April 17, 2020
Unsurprisingly, U.S. manufacturing has taken a significant hit in the current environment. Regional Fed surveys are showing levels not seen since 2009, with New York posting a nearly ...

Fireside Charts: GDP Expectations, Record-High Uncertainty, & the Role of Small Businesses

April 15, 2020
While high-frequency measures such as the New York Fed's Weekly Economic Index have us bracing for significant losses to GDP, consensus on expectations is a hard thing to come by ...

Fireside Charts: Mixed Signals from Equities, A Look to the Past, and the Cooling Bond Market

April 13, 2020
As we head into what is likely to be a particularly unique earnings season, signals out of the equity markets remain mixed. Transports are still down almost 30% from the print ...